## Introduction

Four major features of Schumpeter’s theory of economic development, particularly relevant to this article are: (1) Circular flow, a routine course of labour, land and flow that generates income in every economic period in order to convert into satisfaction of needs; (2) The role of the entrepreneur involved to be innovative or to develop something new, to demonstrate the willingness to prove superiority and to experience the joy of creating new product or processes; (3) Business cycle, the process through which economy suits itself to a new state of economic condition, commonly generated through crises, and (4) Creative destruction of capitalism which suggests that once the ‘new’ takes place, the ‘old’ ceases to be relevant and entails the destruction of the ‘old’ (Schumpeter, 1912). Based on this understanding of Schumpeter’s theory of economic development, small businesses are a significant tool that can develop innovative products and processes that can fundamentally change the economy (Wennekers and Thurik, 1999). Therefore, the author believes it is significantly important for the economy to have more start-up businesses to bring in the ‘new’.

## Business closure

Current statistics indicate that business failure is a significant issue in the UK. The rate of business closure and the exodus of entrepreneurs almost matches the rate of start-ups in each year (see Table 1 below), and statistics show that from 2001 to 2016 the birth rate of new enterprises and the death rate of enterprises are very similar (Graph 1), with a differential of only 87,000 during the period. This scenario proposes that there is a significant gap in knowledge relating to business closure. As a result, despite having high rates of business formation, the reason behind the high rate of business closure has still to be established. The data shown in Table 1 includes those businesses that are VAT registered, meeting the turnover threshold; so the author considers it likely that the exact number of business failures is substantially higher if smaller businesses are also considered. *Graph 1 The business birth rate in 2016 is the highest since at least 2001*.

![Table 1: The business birth rate in 2016 is the highest since at least 2001](figures/fig-01-p59.png)

*Table 1: The business birth rate in 2016 is the highest since at least 2001*

![Graph 1: Business birth and death rates in the UK](figures/fig-02-p59.png)

*Graph 1 The business birth rate in 2016 is the highest since at least 2001.*

Stokes and Blackburn (2001) suggest that ‘failure’, ‘closure’ and ‘exit’ from business are three inter-related terms in literature, with the failure to gain business objectives leading to closure and the exit of owners from the business. In this article, there is an attempt to analyse critically the different factors and relevant literature behind business failure and to identify the most and least convincing explanation of the scenario. It is important to analyse business failure as, in reality, more businesses close than successfully grow (Storey and Greene, 2010).

According to the ‘Circular Flow’ feature of Shumpeter’s Theory of Economic Development, the main objective of a business is to generate income. Thus, the primary reason for failure of new businesses is insolvency, due to insufficient profit margins, often caused by the unsuccessful level of sales (Marcella and Illingworth, 2012). Stokes and Blackburn (2001), suggest that factors of financial insolvency include indebtedness and pay- off for the owner. Dun and Bradstreet (2001) evidence (Table 2) that 10% of small businesses close due to bankruptcy. Healy and Lynas (1997) similarly opine, suggesting that, “…failure is generally regarded as the discontinuance of the business due to a lack of adequate financial resources...” (Stokes, D. and Blackburn, R. 2001:33).

![Table 2: UK statistics on business closures and liquidations](figures/fig-03-p60.png)

*Table 2: UK statistics on business closures and liquidations*

*Source: Small Business Service, 2001; Dun & Bradstreet, 2001.*

Watson and Everett (1996) accumulated possible reasons for business closure or discontinuation and proposed several ideas from various sources. According to Ulmer and Nielson (1947), for example, firms were sold or liquidated to avoid the consequences of future losses. That provides a view that many business owners sell or liquidate their business when the owner realises that the business will under- perform in the future and will not generate the income or objectives required to avoid the full consequences of insolvency.

Another study by Cochran (1981) suggests that when a business does not meet the owners’ expectations of earnings or generate the level of income or objectives expected, the business closes. Watson and Everett (1996), explored several other reasons for business closure, including: 30% of businesses were closed due to the owner’s retirement or ill health, 7% of business were closed due to low profit margins and 20% businesses closed due to the owner changing focus. Interestingly, the study made by Watson and Everett (1996) indicates that almost 50% of business closures were due to factors other than insolvency.

Further research (Reynolds and Miller, 1992; Sullivan *et al*., 1998) shows that when a business is in the development stage, it goes through many difficulties and may fail within the first twelve months of trading. Conversely, Conway (1996) shows that business size has a substantial impact on the growth of the small businesses, particularly in a micro-business environment.

On the basis of the literature reviewed, the author concludes that different issues exist, based on the types of business and the business closure factors that trigger the failure and closure of businesses, especially in the start-up stage, which seems to be a very vulnerable time. Both causal factors and vulnerability can be experienced very differently at other stages in the setting up of businesses. Mehralizadeh and Sajady (2005) suggest that business entrepreneurs face three major stages: (1) Developing the idea of the business, (2) Start-up activity and (3) Running and consolidating the business. Every stage has different points at which the business might struggle and can be impacted adversely by internal and external factors.

## Internal Factors

The three Internal factors identified are personal characteristics of entrepreneurs, business planning and financial management. Sullivan *et al*. (1998) propose four personal characteristics, any one of which needs to be present in a successful entrepreneur: (1) an achiever, (2) an empathic trader, (3) an innovator and (4) a true manager. However, as the author notes, an achiever could tend to expand a business in a very short period of time, without gaining sufficient product knowledge or organisational skills; so the presence of additional characteristics is considered desirable. In this context McClelland (1967) describes the psychological characteristics of a successful entrepreneur, which include ‘…a need for achievement, \[a\] propensity for risk-taking, personal and interpersonal values and innovativeness…’ (Low and MacMillan (1998:147)

While many researchers are attempting to identify characteristic patterns of personality demonstrated in successful entrepreneurs, Brandstatter (1997) suggests that small businesses may fail within the first five years of their birth because of the misfit between the personal characteristics and the skills necessary for the tasks to be undertaken in the business: specifically, to demonstrate the risk-taking attitudes, flexibility and persistency required to achieve goals in the development stage. Dun and Bradstreet (2001) establish that 88 percent of business closures are the result of poor management skills and poor decision-making. The twelve leading mistakes made by business owners described in the study of Mehralizadeh Y. and Sajady S. (2005:3) and summarised by Paul Lewis are set out below:

> 1\) Going into business for the wrong reasons, (2) Advice from family and friends, (3) Being in the wrong place at the wrong time, (4) Entrepreneur fatigue and/or underestimation of time requirements, (5) Family pressure on time and money commitments, (6) Pride, (7) Lack of market awareness, (8) The entrepreneur ‘falls in love’ with the product/business, (9) Lack of financial responsibility and awareness, (10) Lack of a clear focus, (11) Over-abundance of working capital and (12) Overly optimistic, realistic or pessimistic….

## Business planning

One of the most significant stages of starting a business is its planning stage. Poor planning of business, management and marketing may lead the business to failure and subsequent closure. Business planning involves many activities: for example, undertaking market research that considers the scope of the business in the market, its audience or market demand, setting objectives for business expansion in the future, and anticipating cash flow.

Effective business planning can facilitate the opportunity to create the long-term vision, set the necessary objectives and provide sufficient resources to realise the vision of gaining income (Sullivan *et al*., 1998). This process involves research of the market, to collect necessary information and data and the production of a clear business plan which sets out long-term objectives that is comprehensive and well structured. However, Mintzberg (1994) argues that even though planning can be beneficial for a business, the value of business planning is context-dependent. Consequently, benefits are indeed variable, depending on the context of the business.

## Financial Management

For start-up businesses, financing can be a struggle in the setting-up stage. Entrepreneurs often generate capital to fund their idea by savings from full-time or part-time employment, borrowing from relatives, selling or mortgaging properties or from employment loans. For example, there are opportunities in the UK to apply for start-up loans of up to £25,000. The question is, how much does it help? According to the UK Business Forum (2017), in the period 2013-2014, 49.6% of start-up loans were in default (Table 3, column 2). The author believes that the reason behind defaults in payments, defined as being three or more payments in arrears, is due to poor planning and the misfit between the characteristics of entrepreneurs and the business context. Whatever the source of the capital, entrepreneurs need to have resources available for planning and financial budgeting in the start-up process.

*Table 3: Annual percentages of default in start-up loans (UKBF, 2017)*

| Origination | No. | Value of loans | Payment default |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-13 | 1,820 | £9,631,751 | 45.70% |
| 2013-14 | 12,628 | £69,840,358 | 49.60% |
| 2014-15 | 13,488 | £66,525,878 | 32.80% |
| 2015-16 | 9,141 | £64,111,534 | 18.90% |
| 2016-17 | 8,541 | £81,979,030 | 4.00% |

## External Factors

Any business operates in an environment and, to succeed, the business needs to adapt to the opportunities existing within that particular environment; therefore, it is essential to know the external constraints that might mitigate against the ability of a business to survive in the long-term (Kalleberg and Leicht, 1991). Existing literature suggests that economic, governmental, social and external factors have a substantial impact on the ability of businesses to become successful entities in the longer term. This is particularly the case in the start-up stage.

A majority of small businesses establish roots in the community where the owner already lives; therefore, to some extent, the probability of success is dependent on the geographical location (Sullivan *et al*., 1998). As a result, it is highly likely that small businesses, at start-up, will have a very limited opportunity to enter the large business sector and operate in a macro-environment. The author considers it easily understandable that business start-ups in localised micro-environments, where there is an absence of large businesses, are likely to secure the best opportunities for development. This view is confirmed by Keeble and Walker’s study (1994), which found that locality exerts a significant influence on the development of small businesses.

Small businesses play significant roles in encouraging the economic growth and development of local communities by expanding and maximising employment. Therefore, it is essential for central and/or local government to provide assistance and aid packages to help owners of small businesses. Other positive steps that governments can take to facilitate business start-ups include: minimising levels of bureaucracy by easing government regulations, ensuring discounted tax regimes, providing easily accessible start-up loan opportunities and offering subsidised training programmes. (Mehralizadeh and Sajady, 2005).

Access to social support can be an important factor in strengthening the abilities of small business owners to face issues and overcome obstacles when they start new businesses. According to Burden (1993), the sense of responsibility for supporting families assumed by some entrepreneurs of SMEs, may represent a serious disadvantage for owners who have high family commitments. For example, Loscocco *et al*. (1991) suggest that female entrepreneurs may be unable to devote as much time to their businesses as their male counterparts, as a consequence of family commitments, and, therefore, a negative impact on business growth may result.

Lussier (1996) suggests that a greater understanding of the particular industry and operational requirements for small businesses will increase small business owners’ prospects for success. They will acquire a wide knowledge of the business they want to operate, in addition to gaining an understanding of the environment in which they are planning to operate, the opportunities for and threats to the business, the barriers to trade, competition in the existing marketplace and other emerging issues developing in the external environment.

## Conclusion

Reflecting on the above theoretical discussions, the author believes that both the fear of insolvency and the actuality of internal and external environmental factors must be considered in the business start-up stage, in addition to setting longer-term aims and objectives. An entrepreneur must be aware of the factors that influence the initiation of the process.

Therefore, the author proposes that insolvency alone cannot be a reason for a start-up business to fail and result in closure. There are many other factors that may trigger the failure of a start-up or small business. Consequently, the presence of other variables diminishes the value of the concept that failure in the discontinuance of the business is due primarily to the lack of adequate financial resources. As the data shows, more than 50% of start-up or small business failure and closure happens because of external and internal environmental factors.

The author has developed a model (Figure 4) based on the significance of information-flow between all the stages in the setting up process of a business, covering all aspects of impact factors. Business failure can provide essential information for the future growth of a successful business. After receiving support from the resources available within the internal and external environments, there are two possible outcomes for a business: (1) successful start-up, (2) failure and closure.

If the outcome is failure, then the author suggests that a full investigation should ensue to acquire knowledge that can then be applied to starting a successful small business venture in the future. The proposal is for the entrepreneur to use knowledge of external and internal environmental factors as a contribution to assist in the start-up stage and as a continuous process to help establish and expand the business. To this end, the author proposes a model framework that could be used to improve prospects for the survival of small businesses on the following page.

![Figure 4: A model framework to contribute in Start-up Business survival](figures/fig-05-p65.png)

*Figure 4: A model framework to contribute in Start-up Business survival by Author*